· EZU -1.5%, EMXC -2.0%, EWJ -1.8%, EWU -1.2%, FXI -1.8% · USO +3.1%, DBA +0.0%, CPER -2.0%, GLD -1.8%, SLV -4.1% · SHY -0.2%, TLT -1.6%, IGOV -1.2%
Volatility Alerts (≥1.0σ True Range)
Assets experiencing unusually wide trading range comparedto log-normal historical baseline.
1-Day Horizon
| Ticker |
Range |
△1d |
Z-Score |
|
SHY
|
0.3% |
-0.2% |
+2.0σ |
|
KRWUSD
|
1.7% |
-0.8% |
+2.0σ |
|
MXNUSD
|
1.9% |
-1.2% |
+1.4σ |
|
IGOV
|
1.5% |
-1.2% |
+1.4σ |
|
DOGE-USD
|
13.5% |
-7.7% |
+1.3σ |
|
TLT
|
1.9% |
-1.6% |
+1.1σ |
7-Day Horizon
| Ticker |
Range |
△7d |
Z-Score |
|
KRWUSD
|
3.2% |
+0.8% |
+1.3σ |
|
EMXC
|
5.7% |
+3.4% |
+1.1σ |
28-Day Horizon
| Ticker |
Range |
△28d |
Z-Score |
|
USO
|
28.3% |
+16.9% |
+1.4σ |
365-Day Horizon
| Ticker |
Range |
△365d |
Z-Score |
|
USO
|
147.5% |
+98.3% |
+2.0σ |
|
EMXC
|
64.8% |
+50.5% |
+1.6σ |
|
SLV
|
177.1% |
+45.5% |
+1.5σ |
Wednesday, Sep 23
-
Crude Oil Price Surge & Climbing Treasury Yields (Today's Driver):
Actual: 10Y Yield ~4.93% | Brent ~$98/bbl —
Oil's retreat below $100/bbl eased immediate inflation anxieties, though 10-year yields holding near 5% continue to tighten financial conditions following recent Fed tightening.
Thursday, Sep 24
-
US Initial Jobless Claims (Thursday 8:30 AM ET):
Consensus: 202k / Prior: 196k —
Watch for confirmation of whether the sub-200k print was an outlier or sustained labor tightness that validates hawkish Fed policy path.
-
US New Home Sales (Thursday 10:00 AM ET):
Consensus: 610k / Prior: 607k —
Gauges buyer resilience and builder concession efficacy against restrictive mortgage rates hovering north of 7%.
Friday, Sep 25
-
US Durable Goods Orders (Friday 8:30 AM ET):
Consensus: -0.5% MoM / Prior: 1.1% MoM —
Key pulse check on non-defense capital goods shipments and core business investment appetite amidst elevated capital costs.
-
U. of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - Final (Friday 10:00 AM ET):
Consensus: 47.8 / Prelim: 47.8 / Prior: 51.7 —
Focus rests on whether elevated 1-year (4.6%) and 5-year (3.4%) inflation expectations confirm unanchored pricing risks amid energy-driven pressure on households.
Stock Indices
| Symbol |
Price |
△1 |
△7 |
△28 |
△365 |
| SPY |
767.81 |
-0.7% |
1.8% |
0% |
17% |
| QQQ |
741.21 |
-0.8% |
5.2% |
4% |
24% |
| IWM |
281.98 |
-1.8% |
-0.7% |
-6% |
17% |
| RSP |
211.14 |
-0.8% |
-0.5% |
-5% |
13% |
| IJR |
138.14 |
-1.1% |
-1.0% |
-6% |
17% |
International
| Symbol |
Price |
△1 |
△7 |
△28 |
△365 |
| EZU |
68.13 |
-1.5% |
-0.1% |
-5% |
14% |
| EMXC |
100.43 |
-2.0% |
3.4% |
2% |
50% |
| EWJ |
97.05 |
-1.8% |
0.0% |
2% |
25% |
| EWU |
47.09 |
-1.2% |
-0.8% |
-4% |
17% |
| FXI |
34.36 |
-1.8% |
1.3% |
-3% |
-13% |
Commodities
| Symbol |
Price |
△1 |
△7 |
△28 |
△365 |
| USO |
148.83 |
3.1% |
-4.7% |
17% |
98% |
| DBA |
28.55 |
0.0% |
-0.9% |
-0% |
10% |
| CPER |
40.61 |
-2.0% |
5.2% |
1% |
42% |
| GLD |
392.88 |
-1.8% |
0.3% |
-7% |
13% |
| SLV |
58.16 |
-4.1% |
1.9% |
-6% |
46% |
Bond
| Symbol |
Price |
△1 |
△7 |
△28 |
△365 |
| SHY |
81.12 |
-0.2% |
-0.1% |
-1% |
1% |
| TLT |
80.46 |
-1.6% |
-0.5% |
-3% |
-6% |
| IGOV |
40.10 |
-1.2% |
-0.6% |
-3% |
-5% |
Crypto
| Symbol |
Price |
△1 |
△7 |
△28 |
△365 |
| BTC-USD |
84,345.11 |
-2.2% |
10.6% |
7% |
-25% |
| ETH-USD |
2,673.51 |
-2.8% |
10.7% |
7% |
-36% |
| DOGE-USD |
0.0922 |
-7.7% |
14.3% |
5% |
-61% |
Fx Eur
| Symbol |
Price |
△1 |
△7 |
△28 |
△365 |
| EURUSD |
1.14 |
-0.6% |
-0.7% |
-2% |
-3% |
| GBPUSD |
1.32 |
-0.8% |
-1.0% |
-3% |
-2% |
| SEKUSD |
0.1009 |
-0.8% |
-0.5% |
-4% |
-6% |
| NOKUSD |
0.1054 |
-0.5% |
-0.6% |
-1% |
4% |
| CHFUSD |
1.21 |
-0.5% |
0.1% |
-2% |
-4% |
Fx Asia
| Symbol |
Price |
△1 |
△7 |
△28 |
△365 |
| JPYUSD |
0.0063156 |
-0.6% |
-1.3% |
1% |
-7% |
| KRWUSD |
0.0007320 |
-0.8% |
0.8% |
1% |
2% |
| TWDUSD |
0.0315 |
-0.3% |
0.3% |
0% |
-5% |
| CNYUSD |
0.1492 |
-0.1% |
-0.1% |
0% |
6% |
Fx Other
| Symbol |
Price |
△1 |
△7 |
△28 |
△365 |
| CADUSD |
0.7093 |
-0.2% |
-0.8% |
-2% |
-2% |
| AUDUSD |
0.7043 |
-1.1% |
-0.6% |
-2% |
7% |
| NZDUSD |
0.5675 |
-1.0% |
-0.7% |
-5% |
-3% |
| MXNUSD |
0.0571 |
-1.2% |
-1.6% |
-3% |
5% |
Technicals
This chart shows the percent of the S&P 500 over 50 and 200 day simple moving averages — an indication of breadth. This is a test view and may change; feedback is welcome.
200d MA Crossovers
Stocks Crossing Above 200d Moving Average
| Ticker |
Name |
Prior Days |
Max Drawdown |
Industry |
P/OI |
5Y Avg |
| TSLA |
Tesla, Inc. |
78 |
25.2% |
automobile manufacturers |
343.4 |
49.0 |
Stocks Crossing Below 200d Moving Average
| Ticker |
Name |
Prior Days |
Max Runup |
Industry |
P/OI |
5Y Avg |
| QNST |
QUINSTREET, INC |
97 |
66.7% |
interactive media & services |
17.4 |
42.4 |
| ALKS |
Alkermes plc. |
176 |
62.0% |
pharmaceuticals |
60.3 |
23.5 |
| LAD |
LITHIA MOTORS INC |
83 |
45.2% |
automotive retail |
4.4 |
4.5 |
| COMP |
Compass, Inc. |
97 |
37.8% |
None |
|
50.0 |
| EXPE |
Expedia Group, Inc. |
91 |
36.3% |
hotels, resorts & cruise lines |
11.7 |
15.2 |
| UNH |
UNITEDHEALTH GROUP INC |
160 |
29.2% |
managed health care |
15.4 |
14.1 |
| CART |
Maplebear Inc. |
111 |
26.0% |
food retail |
16.2 |
22.0 |
| CARS |
Cars.com Inc. |
89 |
25.2% |
None |
4.2 |
7.4 |
| MS |
MORGAN STANLEY |
169 |
24.2% |
investment banking & brokerage |
11.9 |
11.3 |
| PRK |
PARK NATIONAL CORP /OH/ |
179 |
23.8% |
regional banks |
13.5 |
12.5 |
| LW |
Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. |
84 |
22.9% |
packaged foods & meats |
9.9 |
13.0 |
| ARES |
Ares Management Corp |
61 |
22.9% |
asset management & custody banks |
15.5 |
20.5 |
| JLL |
JONES LANG LASALLE INC |
70 |
22.8% |
real estate services |
10.6 |
10.9 |
| ADAM |
ADAMAS TRUST, INC. |
179 |
22.6% |
mortgage reits |
3.2 |
10.5 |
| LYFT |
Lyft, Inc. |
60 |
21.7% |
passenger ground transportation |
|
50.0 |
Individual Stock Volatility Scanners
Largest Volatility Spikes in the Past Day
| Ticker |
Name |
Sector |
Range |
△1d |
Z-Score |
| PAYX |
PAYCHEX INC |
industrials |
10.9% |
-8.8% |
+7.6σ |
| WOR |
WORTHINGTON ENTERPRISES, INC. |
industrials |
18.3% |
+0.5% |
+7.3σ |
| MCD |
MCDONALDS CORP |
consumer discretionary |
7.0% |
-4.8% |
+6.5σ |
| UTL |
UNITIL CORP |
utilities |
6.8% |
-1.6% |
+3.5σ |
| RRR |
Red Rock Resorts, Inc. |
consumer discretionary |
8.8% |
+6.6% |
+3.0σ |
| CCOI |
COGENT COMMUNICATIONS HOLDINGS, INC. |
communication services |
14.9% |
-12.7% |
+2.8σ |
| KNF |
Knife River Corp |
materials |
10.2% |
-7.9% |
+2.8σ |
| USLM |
UNITED STATES LIME & MINERALS INC |
materials |
6.4% |
-3.8% |
+2.7σ |
| YELP |
YELP INC |
communication services |
8.3% |
-6.5% |
+2.7σ |
| AZO |
AUTOZONE INC |
consumer discretionary |
5.6% |
-1.8% |
+2.6σ |
Largest Volatility Spikes in the Past 7 Days
| Ticker |
Name |
Sector |
Range |
△7d |
Z-Score |
| AN |
AUTONATION, INC. |
consumer discretionary |
22.7% |
-15.5% |
+3.8σ |
| VICR |
VICOR CORP |
industrials |
55.2% |
+54.0% |
+3.6σ |
| PLNT |
Planet Fitness, Inc. |
consumer discretionary |
27.2% |
-18.0% |
+3.3σ |
| GNRC |
GENERAC HOLDINGS INC. |
industrials |
32.4% |
+13.9% |
+3.2σ |
| PAYX |
PAYCHEX INC |
industrials |
13.0% |
-10.5% |
+3.2σ |
| GEN |
Gen Digital Inc. |
information technology |
17.7% |
-14.4% |
+2.9σ |
| NYT |
NEW YORK TIMES CO |
communication services |
17.2% |
-14.5% |
+2.9σ |
| ALL |
ALLSTATE CORP |
financials |
13.0% |
-11.5% |
+2.8σ |
| COHU |
COHU INC |
information technology |
27.1% |
+26.3% |
+2.7σ |
| QNST |
QUINSTREET, INC |
communication services |
30.1% |
-22.1% |
+2.7σ |
Largest Volatility Spikes in the Past 28 Days
| Ticker |
Name |
Sector |
Range |
△28d |
Z-Score |
| APH |
AMPHENOL CORP /DE/ |
information technology |
112.8% |
-49.1% |
+6.8σ |
| RUSHA |
RUSH ENTERPRISES INC \TX\ |
industrials |
62.9% |
-37.6% |
+5.7σ |
| CASY |
CASEYS GENERAL STORES INC |
consumer staples |
40.3% |
-26.0% |
+4.8σ |
| PCG |
PG&E Corp |
utilities |
48.2% |
-31.7% |
+4.8σ |
| COO |
COOPER COMPANIES, INC. |
health care |
42.5% |
-22.9% |
+4.2σ |
| EIX |
EDISON INTERNATIONAL |
utilities |
43.4% |
-28.2% |
+4.1σ |
| AON |
Aon plc |
financials |
27.6% |
-20.4% |
+3.9σ |
| FIVN |
Five9, Inc. |
information technology |
32.9% |
+17.7% |
+3.4σ |
| ENOV |
Enovis CORP |
health care |
46.7% |
-27.7% |
+3.1σ |
| GIS |
GENERAL MILLS INC |
consumer staples |
22.1% |
-11.1% |
+3.0σ |
Largest Volatility Spikes in the Past 365 Days
| Ticker |
Name |
Sector |
Range |
△365d |
Z-Score |
| ROL |
ROLLINS INC |
industrials |
106.8% |
-41.0% |
+4.7σ |
| KLAC |
KLA CORP |
information technology |
1,365.6% |
-82.4% |
+4.1σ |
| OI |
O-I Glass, Inc. /DE/ |
materials |
181.3% |
-54.6% |
+4.0σ |
| ABR |
ARBOR REALTY TRUST INC |
financials |
181.1% |
-62.0% |
+3.8σ |
| VRRM |
VERRA MOBILITY Corp |
industrials |
687.9% |
-86.1% |
+3.8σ |
| DD |
DuPont de Nemours, Inc. |
industrials |
388.8% |
+307.5% |
+3.7σ |
| QLYS |
QUALYS, INC. |
information technology |
170.5% |
+37.0% |
+3.6σ |
| PENG |
Penguin Solutions, Inc. |
information technology |
460.2% |
+95.4% |
+3.5σ |
| PZZA |
PAPA JOHNS INTERNATIONAL INC |
consumer discretionary |
177.3% |
-54.9% |
+3.5σ |
| FIVN |
Five9, Inc. |
information technology |
32.9% |
+nan% |
+3.4σ |
About the Price Report
Goal: Convey trends in prices across select asset classes. Data related to valuations, yields, and macro are treated in separate reports.
Coming Soon: Technical & Momentum Indicators. If you see a chart or metric you think would be useful here, send it to Justin.
This report is generated daily and sent to subscribers either daily or weekly.