· EZU +0.3%, EMXC -0.8%, EWJ +0.0%, EWU +0.4%, FXI -0.4% · USO +0.9%, DBA +1.4%, CPER +0.5%, GLD +0.8%, SLV +0.6% · SHY +0.1%, TLT +0.1%, IGOV +0.3%
Volatility Alerts (≥1.0σ True Range)
Assets experiencing unusually wide trading range comparedto log-normal historical baseline.
28-Day Horizon
| Ticker |
Range |
△28d |
Z-Score |
|
MXNUSD
|
9.3% |
-5.8% |
+1.9σ |
|
CADUSD
|
3.9% |
-3.0% |
+1.2σ |
365-Day Horizon
| Ticker |
Range |
△365d |
Z-Score |
|
USO
|
147.5% |
+99.3% |
+2.0σ |
|
EMXC
|
63.9% |
+51.0% |
+1.5σ |
|
SLV
|
163.4% |
+25.9% |
+1.4σ |
Tuesday, Oct 6
-
U.S. Trade Balance (Today's Print):
Actual: -$105.6B vs Consensus: -$102.0B —
Deficit widened 13.7% to a 19-month high as record imports of oil, capital goods, and AI semiconductors overwhelmed modest export gains, signaling a significant drag on Q3 GDP.
Wednesday, Oct 7
-
FOMC Minutes (Wednesday 2:00 PM ET):
Prior: +25 bps Hike to 3.75%-4.00% —
Focus on the committee's conviction behind September's rate hike and internal debate over whether sticky core PCE inflation justifies an immediate follow-up hike at the October 27-28 meeting.
Thursday, Oct 8
-
Initial Jobless Claims (Thursday 8:30 AM ET):
Consensus: 200k / Prior: 197k —
High-frequency labor test after last week's multi-month low; any sharp reversal higher would reinforce cooling labor momentum and dampen market expectations for further Fed rate hikes.
Friday, Oct 9
-
University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment (Prelim) (Friday 10:00 AM ET):
Consensus: 47.6 / Prior: 48.1 —
Sentiment languishing near historical lows; main market sensitivity lies in 1-year (prior 4.6%) and 5-year inflation expectations amid persistent fuel costs and tariff pass-through.
Stock Indices
| Symbol |
Price |
△1 |
△7 |
△28 |
△365 |
| ■ SPY |
779.41 |
0.6% |
2.0% |
2% |
17% |
| ■ QQQ |
760.08 |
0.5% |
3.0% |
6% |
26% |
| ■ IWM |
281.28 |
-0.7% |
0.8% |
-5% |
15% |
| ■ RSP |
212.33 |
0.6% |
1.3% |
-2% |
12% |
| ■ IJR |
138.85 |
-0.1% |
1.4% |
-4% |
17% |
International
| Symbol |
Price |
△1 |
△7 |
△28 |
△365 |
| ■ EZU |
67.00 |
0.3% |
-1.8% |
-5% |
10% |
| ■ EMXC |
101.89 |
-0.8% |
1.5% |
0% |
51% |
| ■ EWJ |
99.32 |
0.0% |
2.9% |
1% |
24% |
| ■ EWU |
46.37 |
0.4% |
-1.0% |
-4% |
13% |
| ■ FXI |
33.71 |
-0.4% |
-0.4% |
-4% |
-17% |
Commodities
| Symbol |
Price |
△1 |
△7 |
△28 |
△365 |
| ■ USO |
145.23 |
0.9% |
1.3% |
-1% |
99% |
| ■ DBA |
28.85 |
1.4% |
2.1% |
-1% |
12% |
| ■ CPER |
40.03 |
0.5% |
0.2% |
-1% |
29% |
| ■ GLD |
382.17 |
0.8% |
-0.2% |
-4% |
5% |
| ■ SLV |
55.45 |
0.6% |
-0.0% |
-7% |
26% |
Bond
| Symbol |
Price |
△1 |
△7 |
△28 |
△365 |
| ■ SHY |
81.13 |
0.1% |
-0.0% |
-1% |
1% |
| ■ TLT |
77.21 |
0.1% |
-1.3% |
-6% |
-9% |
| ■ IGOV |
39.89 |
0.3% |
0.1% |
-4% |
-5% |
Crypto
| Symbol |
Price |
△1 |
△7 |
△28 |
△365 |
| ■ BTC-USD |
86,461.67 |
0.8% |
3.4% |
10% |
-31% |
| ■ ETH-USD |
2,694.17 |
-0.6% |
0.1% |
8% |
-43% |
| ■ DOGE-USD |
0.0940 |
-2.4% |
-0.1% |
5% |
-65% |
Fx Eur
| Symbol |
Price |
△1 |
△7 |
△28 |
△365 |
| ■ EURUSD |
1.13 |
0.4% |
-0.7% |
-3% |
-3% |
| ■ GBPUSD |
1.33 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
-2% |
-2% |
| ■ SEKUSD |
0.1001 |
0.5% |
0.1% |
-4% |
-6% |
| ■ NOKUSD |
0.1047 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
-3% |
4% |
| ■ CHFUSD |
1.20 |
-0.1% |
0.3% |
-3% |
-4% |
Fx Asia
| Symbol |
Price |
△1 |
△7 |
△28 |
△365 |
| ■ JPYUSD |
0.0063230 |
-0.1% |
-0.5% |
-3% |
-5% |
| ■ KRWUSD |
0.0007478 |
0.3% |
1.1% |
0% |
5% |
| ■ TWDUSD |
0.0315 |
-0.2% |
0.1% |
-1% |
-4% |
| ■ CNYUSD |
0.1492 |
0.0% |
-0.0% |
-0% |
6% |
Fx Other
| Symbol |
Price |
△1 |
△7 |
△28 |
△365 |
| ■ CADUSD |
0.7036 |
0.3% |
-0.1% |
-3% |
-2% |
| ■ AUDUSD |
0.6986 |
0.2% |
-0.0% |
-3% |
6% |
| ■ NZDUSD |
0.5626 |
0.5% |
-0.3% |
-4% |
-3% |
| ■ MXNUSD |
0.0557 |
0.6% |
0.5% |
-6% |
2% |
Technicals
This chart shows the percent of the S&P 500 over 50 and 200 day simple moving averages — an indication of breadth. This is a test view and may change; feedback is welcome.
200d MA Crossovers
Stocks Crossing Above 200d Moving Average
| Ticker |
Name |
Prior Days |
Max Drawdown |
Industry |
P/OI |
5Y Avg |
| CIEN |
CIENA CORP |
49 |
27.8% |
communications equipment |
118.1 |
35.7 |
| TLN |
Talen Energy Corp |
52 |
19.1% |
independent power producers & energy traders |
196.5 |
28.7 |
| CCL |
Carnival Corp Ltd. |
52 |
17.6% |
hotels, resorts & cruise lines |
8.2 |
11.4 |
| VST |
Vistra Corp. |
73 |
12.6% |
electric utilities |
15.1 |
17.3 |
| GEV |
GE Vernova Inc. |
47 |
11.1% |
heavy electrical equipment |
119.2 |
50.0 |
| IR |
Ingersoll Rand Inc. |
52 |
10.4% |
industrial machinery & supplies & components |
16.6 |
21.2 |
Stocks Crossing Below 200d Moving Average
| Ticker |
Name |
Prior Days |
Max Runup |
Industry |
P/OI |
5Y Avg |
| MOV |
MOVADO GROUP INC |
416 |
61.1% |
None |
16.0 |
13.1 |
| HELE |
HELEN OF TROY LTD |
171 |
49.4% |
None |
|
9.1 |
| BANR |
BANNER CORP |
124 |
14.0% |
regional banks |
30.9 |
28.9 |
| FBNC |
FIRST BANCORP /NC/ |
199 |
13.6% |
regional banks |
14.5 |
12.0 |
Individual Stock Volatility Scanners
Largest Volatility Spikes in the Past Day
| Ticker |
Name |
Sector |
Range |
△1d |
Z-Score |
| APOG |
APOGEE ENTERPRISES, INC. |
building products |
20.3% |
+12.2% |
+8.1σ |
| AZTA |
Azenta, Inc. |
life sciences tools & services |
17.9% |
-7.9% |
+4.8σ |
| LW |
Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. |
packaged foods & meats |
12.6% |
+7.4% |
+4.6σ |
| ILMN |
ILLUMINA, INC. |
life sciences tools & services |
13.9% |
-7.8% |
+4.4σ |
| CEG |
Constellation Energy Corp |
electric utilities |
15.8% |
+12.1% |
+4.1σ |
| NXRT |
NexPoint Residential Trust, Inc. |
multi-family residential reits |
8.6% |
+8.4% |
+4.1σ |
| NEO |
NEOGENOMICS INC |
health care services |
22.3% |
-13.7% |
+4.0σ |
| SDGR |
Schrodinger, Inc. |
health care services |
18.3% |
-11.3% |
+3.9σ |
| RVTY |
REVVITY, INC. |
health care equipment |
9.8% |
-2.0% |
+3.7σ |
| BRKR |
BRUKER CORP |
health care equipment |
12.0% |
-5.0% |
+3.5σ |
Largest Volatility Spikes in the Past 7 Days
| Ticker |
Name |
Sector |
Range |
△7d |
Z-Score |
| CTVA |
Corteva, Inc. |
fertilizers & agricultural chemicals |
571.2% |
-82.1% |
+16.9σ |
| PTC |
PTC INC. |
application software |
42.5% |
+40.3% |
+8.0σ |
| MAT |
MATTEL INC /DE/ |
leisure products |
39.0% |
+20.5% |
+5.7σ |
| OPCH |
Option Care Health, Inc. |
health care facilities |
39.6% |
+35.9% |
+5.5σ |
| ACN |
Accenture plc |
it consulting & other services |
28.5% |
+9.2% |
+4.9σ |
| MRP |
Millrose Properties, Inc. |
single-family residential reits |
23.7% |
-12.6% |
+3.7σ |
| AZTA |
Azenta, Inc. |
life sciences tools & services |
35.9% |
+14.8% |
+3.6σ |
| UTHR |
UNITED THERAPEUTICS Corp |
biotechnology |
23.2% |
+12.5% |
+3.5σ |
| RXO |
RXO, Inc. |
cargo ground transportation |
44.1% |
+37.8% |
+3.5σ |
| IART |
INTEGRA LIFESCIENCES HOLDINGS CORP |
health care equipment |
34.9% |
-20.0% |
+3.4σ |
Largest Volatility Spikes in the Past 28 Days
| Ticker |
Name |
Sector |
Range |
△28d |
Z-Score |
| CTVA |
Corteva, Inc. |
fertilizers & agricultural chemicals |
636.9% |
-83.8% |
+16.1σ |
| PTC |
PTC INC. |
application software |
54.6% |
+44.8% |
+5.4σ |
| GEN |
Gen Digital Inc. |
systems software |
54.9% |
-23.7% |
+5.0σ |
| FICO |
FAIR ISAAC CORP |
application software |
73.0% |
-24.9% |
+4.5σ |
| MRP |
Millrose Properties, Inc. |
single-family residential reits |
41.5% |
-24.7% |
+4.0σ |
| STC |
STEWART INFORMATION SERVICES CORP |
property & casualty insurance |
38.6% |
-22.9% |
+3.9σ |
| RVTY |
REVVITY, INC. |
health care equipment |
37.5% |
+20.6% |
+3.7σ |
| AN |
AUTONATION, INC. |
automotive retail |
38.9% |
-24.4% |
+3.6σ |
| LQDA |
Liquidia Corp |
pharmaceuticals |
235.0% |
-61.6% |
+3.3σ |
| PJT |
PJT Partners Inc. |
investment banking & brokerage |
34.4% |
-23.4% |
+3.3σ |
Largest Volatility Spikes in the Past 365 Days
| Ticker |
Name |
Sector |
Range |
△365d |
Z-Score |
| CTVA |
Corteva, Inc. |
fertilizers & agricultural chemicals |
674.9% |
-78.3% |
+14.9σ |
| ROL |
ROLLINS INC |
environmental & facilities services |
125.2% |
-47.6% |
+5.2σ |
| ABR |
ARBOR REALTY TRUST INC |
mortgage reits |
239.1% |
-69.5% |
+4.8σ |
| OI |
O-I Glass, Inc. /DE/ |
metal, glass & plastic containers |
219.1% |
-53.7% |
+4.8σ |
| VRRM |
VERRA MOBILITY Corp |
data processing & outsourced services |
818.7% |
-88.2% |
+3.9σ |
| KLAC |
KLA CORP |
semiconductor materials & equipment |
1,365.6% |
-82.6% |
+3.8σ |
| PZZA |
PAPA JOHNS INTERNATIONAL INC |
restaurants |
187.4% |
-56.9% |
+3.6σ |
| AVT |
AVNET INC |
technology distributors |
148.7% |
+105.6% |
+3.5σ |
| QLYS |
QUALYS, INC. |
systems software |
174.3% |
+54.3% |
+3.5σ |
| DD |
DuPont de Nemours, Inc. |
industrial conglomerates |
388.8% |
+297.7% |
+3.5σ |
About the Price Report
Goal: Convey trends in prices across select asset classes. Data related to valuations, yields, and macro are treated in separate reports.
Coming Soon: Technical & Momentum Indicators. If you see a chart or metric you think would be useful here, send it to Justin.
This report is generated daily and sent to subscribers either daily or weekly.