Series	Latest	Date
10yr UST Yield	4.80	2026-09-08 Reported 2026-09-09
10yr Real Yield (TIPS)	2.43	2026-09-08 Reported 2026-09-09

A steeper yield curve implies strong economic growth in the future. A flatter or inverted yield curve suggests an economic downturn.

Series	Latest	Date
10yr / 2yr UST Spread	0.40	2026-09-09 Reported 2026-09-09

The 10/2 spread gives an indication of yield curve steepness over time and often goes negative right before a recession.

Series	Latest	Date
10yr UST Yield	4.80	2026-09-08 Reported 2026-09-09
30yr Mortgage	6.71	2026-09-03 Reported 2026-09-03
US High Yield Corporate Debt	7.22	2026-09-08 Reported 2026-09-09

Series	Latest	Date
3mo UST Yield	3.94	2026-09-08 Reported 2026-09-09
5yr UST Yield	4.57	2026-09-08 Reported 2026-09-09
10yr UST Yield	4.80	2026-09-08 Reported 2026-09-09
30yr UST Yield	5.25	2026-09-08 Reported 2026-09-09

Interest rates have been on a downward trajectory since the Volcker era.

Series	Latest	Date
US 10yr Yield	4.47	2026-06-01 Reported 2026-07-16
UK 10yr Yield	4.80	2026-06-01 Reported 2026-07-16
Japan 10yr Yield	2.67	2026-06-01 Reported 2026-07-16
Germany 10yr Yield	2.97	2026-06-01 Reported 2026-07-16
Italy 10yr Yield	3.73	2026-06-01 Reported 2026-07-16
Australia 10yr Yield	4.83	2026-06-01 Reported 2026-07-16

Series	Latest	Date
5yr Breakeven	2.41	2026-09-09 Reported 2026-09-09
5yr 5yr fwd Breakeven	2.33	2026-09-09 Reported 2026-09-09
10yr Breakeven	2.37	2026-09-09 Reported 2026-09-09

These rates are the difference between nominal USTs and TIPS and express the market's view of inflation over given timeframes (plus a risk premia related to uncertainty and low TIPS liquidity). The 5Y5Y forward breakeven is closely watched by the Fed.

Series	Latest	Date
CPI YoY	3.30	2026-07-01 Reported 2026-08-12
CPI Core YoY	2.47	2026-07-01 Reported 2026-08-12
PCE Core YoY	3.34	2026-07-01 Reported 2026-08-26

The FOMC targets "average 2%" PCE. CPI only covers out-of-pocket expenditures; PCE includes other expenditures (like insured medical care), and takes into account substitution effects (making it lower than CPI). CPI feeds into TIPS and cost-of-living adjustments.

Series	Latest	Date
CPI MoM	0.07	2026-07-01 Reported 2026-08-12
CPI Core MoM	0.22	2026-07-01 Reported 2026-08-12
PCE Core MoM	0.25	2026-07-01 Reported 2026-08-26

Series	Latest	Date
PPI Yoy	4.66	2026-07-01 Reported 2026-08-13

The headline PPI ("Final Demand") shows changes in prices recieved by domestic producers for goods, services, and construction sold for personal consumption, capital investment, government, and export. Like CPI/PCE, PPI incorporates hedonic adjustments.

Series	Latest	Date
PPI Chg	-0.03	2026-07-01 Reported 2026-08-13

Series	Latest	Date
UMich Inflation Expectations	4.20	2026-07-01 Reported 2026-08-28

Expected prices changes 12mo in advance, based on survey of >500 telephone interviews (random digit dialing). Tends to lead by CPI by one quarter and has a 90% correlation with next-quarter CPI.

Series	Latest	Date
US Gasoline Price	4.16	2026-09-07 Reported 2026-09-09

Series	Latest	Date
Payrolls (Establishment)	159M	2026-08-01 Reported 2026-09-04
Payrolls (Household)	163M	2026-08-01 Reported 2026-09-04

Series	Latest	Date
Initial Claims	206K	2026-08-29 Reported 2026-09-03

Series	Latest	Date
Broad Money (M3) YoY	-2.95	2023-11-01 Reported 2024-01-12
Broad Money (M3) MoM	0.20	2023-11-01 Reported 2024-01-12

The Fed reviews money supply metrics but no longer sees it as the key determinant of GDP, inflation, or monetary policy.

Series	Latest	Date
M2 Velocity	1.42	2026-04-01 Reported 2026-08-26

Nominal GDP / M2, or the number of times money is used to purchase goods and services in a time period. Increased velocity can lead to inflation.

Series	Latest	Date
Commercial and Industrial Loans	2.96T	2026-08-26 Reported 2026-09-04
Consumer Loans	1.92T	2026-08-26 Reported 2026-09-04
Real Estate Loans	5.83T	2026-08-26 Reported 2026-09-04
Other Loans	3.33T	2026-08-26 Reported 2026-09-04

Note that commercial bank lending only represents 1/3 of total credit to the non-financial sector.

Series	Latest	Date
Margin Debt	622B	2026-01-01 Reported 2026-06-12

Series	Latest	Date
Fed Funds Rate	3.63	2026-09-08 Reported 2026-09-09

The effective rate commercial banks charge to each other on excess reserves overnight. This is set 8 time per year by the FOMC and managed by open market operations, changing the discount rate the Fed charges, or changing reserve requirements.

Series	Latest	Date
Reverse Repo	432M	2026-09-09 Reported 2026-09-09

The Fed sells securities overnight to mop up excess liquidity and put a floor on the federal funds rate. A standing repo facility with a fixed rate was established July 2021.

Series	Latest	Date
Federal Debt	40T	2026-09-08 Reported 2026-09-09
Debt Ceiling	41T	2026-09-08 Reported 2026-09-09
USTs Owned By Fed	4.55T	2026-09-02 Reported 2026-09-03

Since June 11th, 2020, the Fed has been buying $80b USTs per month (and $40b agency MBS). The Fed is expected to start tapering these purchases soon.

Series	Latest	Date
TGA Balance	968T	2026-09-02 Reported 2026-09-03

The Treasury's "checking account" held at the Federal Reserve (since 2008, previously at commercial banks). It spiked in 2020 due to emergency COVID-related debt issuance.

Series	Latest	Date
Household Checkable Deposits and Currency	5.62T	2026-01-01 Reported 2026-06-12

Dollars in checkable deposits and currency. Calculated quarterly.

Series	Latest	Date
Personal Savings	712B	2026-07-01 Reported 2026-08-26

Personal savings, seasonally adjusted annual rate.

Series	Latest	Date
Advance Retail Sales	764B	2026-07-01 Reported 2026-08-14

Advance monthly retail sales for retail trade and food services.

Series	Latest	Date
Truck Tonnage YoY	-0.26	2026-06-01 Reported 2026-09-01
Rail Freight Intermodal Tonnage YoY	11	2026-06-01 Reported 2026-09-01

US Truck & Intermodal Tonnage Index y/y change.

Series	Latest	Date
S&P 500	7.67K	2026-09-08 Reported 2026-09-09
NASDAQ	26K	2026-09-08 Reported 2026-09-09

Does not include dividend reinvestment.