Series	Latest	Date
■ 10yr UST Yield	5.00	2026-10-23 Reported 2026-10-26
■ 10yr Real Yield (TIPS)	2.66	2026-10-23 Reported 2026-10-26

A steeper yield curve implies strong economic growth in the future. A flatter or inverted yield curve suggests an economic downturn.

Series	Latest	Date
■ 10yr / 2yr UST Spread	0.32	2026-10-26 Reported 2026-10-26

The 10/2 spread gives an indication of yield curve steepness over time and often goes negative right before a recession.

Series	Latest	Date
■ 10yr UST Yield	5.00	2026-10-23 Reported 2026-10-26
■ 30yr Mortgage	7.32	2026-10-22 Reported 2026-10-22
■ US High Yield Corporate Debt	8.14	2026-10-23 Reported 2026-10-26

Series	Latest	Date
■ Baa / 10yr Spread	1.47	2026-10-23 Reported 2026-10-26
■ US High Yield Spread	3.38	2026-10-23 Reported 2026-10-26

Series	Latest	Date
■ 3mo UST Yield	4.22	2026-10-23 Reported 2026-10-26
■ 5yr UST Yield	4.82	2026-10-23 Reported 2026-10-26
■ 10yr UST Yield	5.00	2026-10-23 Reported 2026-10-26
■ 30yr UST Yield	5.33	2026-10-23 Reported 2026-10-26

Interest rates have been on a downward trajectory since the Volcker era.

Series	Latest	Date
■ US 10yr Yield	4.99	2026-09-01 Reported 2026-10-15
■ UK 10yr Yield	5.24	2026-09-01 Reported 2026-10-15
■ Japan 10yr Yield	3.05	2026-09-01 Reported 2026-10-15
■ Germany 10yr Yield	3.47	2026-09-01 Reported 2026-10-15
■ Italy 10yr Yield	3.99	2026-08-01 Reported 2026-10-15
■ Australia 10yr Yield	5.28	2026-09-01 Reported 2026-10-15

Series	Latest	Date
■ 5yr Breakeven	2.47	2026-10-26 Reported 2026-10-26
■ 5yr 5yr fwd Breakeven	2.21	2026-10-26 Reported 2026-10-26
■ 10yr Breakeven	2.34	2026-10-26 Reported 2026-10-26

These rates are the difference between nominal USTs and TIPS and express the market's view of inflation over given timeframes (plus a risk premia related to uncertainty and low TIPS liquidity). The 5Y5Y forward breakeven is closely watched by the Fed.

Series	Latest	Date
■ CPI YoY	3.72	2026-09-01 Reported 2026-10-14
■ CPI Core YoY	2.57	2026-09-01 Reported 2026-10-14
■ PCE Core YoY	3.01	2026-08-01 Reported 2026-09-30

The FOMC targets "average 2%" PCE. CPI only covers out-of-pocket expenditures; PCE includes other expenditures (like insured medical care), and takes into account substitution effects (making it lower than CPI). CPI feeds into TIPS and cost-of-living adjustments.

Series	Latest	Date
■ CPI MoM	0.65	2026-09-01 Reported 2026-10-14
■ CPI Core MoM	0.33	2026-09-01 Reported 2026-10-14
■ PCE Core MoM	0.25	2026-08-01 Reported 2026-09-30

Series	Latest	Date
■ PPI Yoy	6.35	2026-09-01 Reported 2026-10-15

The headline PPI ("Final Demand") shows changes in prices recieved by domestic producers for goods, services, and construction sold for personal consumption, capital investment, government, and export. Like CPI/PCE, PPI incorporates hedonic adjustments.

Series	Latest	Date
■ PPI Chg	1.34	2026-09-01 Reported 2026-10-15

Series	Latest	Date
■ UMich Inflation Expectations	4.60	2026-09-01 Reported 2026-10-23

Expected prices changes 12mo in advance, based on survey of >500 telephone interviews (random digit dialing). Tends to lead by CPI by one quarter and has a 90% correlation with next-quarter CPI.

Series	Latest	Date
■ US Gasoline Price	4.28	2026-10-19 Reported 2026-10-20

Series	Latest	Date
■ Payrolls (Establishment)	159M	2026-09-01 Reported 2026-10-02
■ Payrolls (Household)	163M	2026-09-01 Reported 2026-10-02

Series	Latest	Date
■ Initial Claims	194K	2026-10-17 Reported 2026-10-22

Series	Latest	Date
■ Broad Money (M3) YoY	-2.95	2023-11-01 Reported 2024-01-12
■ Broad Money (M3) MoM	0.20	2023-11-01 Reported 2024-01-12

The Fed reviews money supply metrics but no longer sees it as the key determinant of GDP, inflation, or monetary policy.

Series	Latest	Date
■ M2 Velocity	1.42	2026-04-01 Reported 2026-09-30

Nominal GDP / M2, or the number of times money is used to purchase goods and services in a time period. Increased velocity can lead to inflation.

Series	Latest	Date
■ Commercial and Industrial Loans YoY	11	2026-10-14 Reported 2026-10-23
■ Consumer Loans YoY	5.21	2026-10-14 Reported 2026-10-23
■ Real Estate Loans YoY	2.74	2026-10-14 Reported 2026-10-23
■ Other Loans YoY	17	2026-10-14 Reported 2026-10-23

Note that commercial bank lending only represents 1/3 of total credit to the non-financial sector.

Series	Latest	Date
■ Commercial and Industrial Loans	2.99T	2026-10-14 Reported 2026-10-23
■ Consumer Loans	1.94T	2026-10-14 Reported 2026-10-23
■ Real Estate Loans	5.86T	2026-10-14 Reported 2026-10-23
■ Other Loans	3.43T	2026-10-14 Reported 2026-10-23

Series	Latest	Date
■ Margin Debt	742B	2026-04-01 Reported 2026-09-11

Series	Latest	Date
■ Fed Funds Rate	3.88	2026-10-23 Reported 2026-10-26

The effective rate commercial banks charge to each other on excess reserves overnight. This is set 8 time per year by the FOMC and managed by open market operations, changing the discount rate the Fed charges, or changing reserve requirements.

Series	Latest	Date
■ Reverse Repo	200M	2026-10-26 Reported 2026-10-26

The Fed sells securities overnight to mop up excess liquidity and put a floor on the federal funds rate. A standing repo facility with a fixed rate was established July 2021.

Series	Latest	Date
■ Federal Debt	40T	2026-10-23 Reported 2026-10-26
■ Debt Ceiling	nan	2026-10-26 Reported NaT
■ USTs Owned By Fed	4.57T	2026-10-21 Reported 2026-10-22

Since June 11th, 2020, the Fed has been buying $80b USTs per month (and $40b agency MBS). The Fed is expected to start tapering these purchases soon.

Series	Latest	Date
■ TGA Balance	952T	2026-10-21 Reported 2026-10-22

The Treasury's "checking account" held at the Federal Reserve (since 2008, previously at commercial banks). It spiked in 2020 due to emergency COVID-related debt issuance.

Series	Latest	Date
■ Household Checkable Deposits YoY	5.28	2026-04-01 Reported 2026-09-11

Households and Nonprofit Organizations; Checkable Deposits and Currency; Asset, Level (YoY % change).

Series	Latest	Date
■ Personal Savings	990B	2026-08-01 Reported 2026-09-30

Personal savings, seasonally adjusted annual rate.

Series	Latest	Date
■ Retail Sales YoY	6.29	2026-09-01 Reported 2026-10-15

Advance monthly retail sales for retail trade and food services.

Series	Latest	Date
■ Truck Tonnage YoY	-0.35	2026-07-01 Reported 2026-10-01
■ Rail Freight Intermodal Tonnage YoY	6.11	2026-07-01 Reported 2026-10-01

US Truck & Intermodal Tonnage Index y/y change.

Series	Latest	Date
■ S&P 500	7.62K	2026-10-23 Reported 2026-10-26
■ NASDAQ	26K	2026-10-23 Reported 2026-10-24

Does not include dividend reinvestment.